2016-NFL-Week 12-Sunday football-Betting preview

Chargers (-2, 46 ½) at Texans – 1:00 PM EST

San Diego
Record: 4-6 SU, 6-4 ATS, 8-2 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 200/1

In spite of sitting in last place of the loaded AFC West, San Diego is several plays away from being in the middle of the AFC Wild Card race. The Chargers were off last week, but blew a 10-0 lead in a Week 10 home loss to the Dolphins, 31-24 as Philip Rivers was intercepted four times in the fourth quarter. San Diego is listed as a road favorite for the first time this season, as the Chargers have won just once in five road contests coming at Atlanta in overtime in Week 7.

Record: 6-4 SU, 5-4-1 ATS, 5-5 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 60/1

Very curious line here as the Texans have yet to lose a game at NRG Stadium this season, going 5-0 at home. Houston returns to the friendly confines following a 27-20 loss to Oakland in Mexico City last Monday night in spite of limiting the Raiders to 30 yards rushing on 20 carries. The good news for the Texans is they have yet to lose back-to-back games this season, posting a 3-0 SU and 2-0-1 ATS record off a defeat. Houston has never covered against San Diego in five lifetime meetings, while beating the Chargers only once, coming in the 2013 season opener, 31-28 at Qualcomm Stadium.

Best Bet: Houston +2

Bengals at Ravens (-4, 40 ½) – 1:00 PM EST

Record: 3-6-1 SU, 3-7 ATS, 5-5 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 250/1

If things couldn’t get any worse for the struggling Bengals, Cincinnati lose offensive weapons Giovani Bernard and A.J. Green to long-term injuries in last Sunday’s loss to the Bills. Green is obviously a huge blow to this Cincinnati offense as the All-Pro wide receiver ranks third in the NFL in receiving yards with 964 yards as he is out with a hamstring tear. The Bengals have won only once in their last six games with that lone victory coming against the winless Browns, while losing four straight contests away from Paul Brown Stadium.

Record: 5-5 SU, 4-6 ATS, 6-3-1 UNDER
Super Bowl Odds: 50/1

The Ravens have seen plenty of ups and downs this season, starting 3-0, then losing four straight, followed by a two-game winning streak. Baltimore took a step backwards last Sunday in a 27-17 defeat at Dallas as seven-point underdogs to drop its third consecutive road contest. The Ravens look to sweep the AFC North at home after picking up November home victories over the Steelers and Browns. Baltimore has dropped five straight meetings with Cincinnati, including a 28-24 home setback to the Bengals last season.

Best Bet: Baltimore -4

Cardinals at Falcons (-6, 50 ½) – 1:00 PM EST

Record: 4-5-1 SU, 3-7 ATS, 6-4 UNDER
Super Bowl Odds: 50/1

The Cardinals were on the doorstep of the Super Bowl last season, but were blown out in the NFC Championship by the Panthers. Arizona has never really built momentum off that playoff run as the Cardinals are attempting to reach the .500 mark with a win. The Cards outgained the Vikings last Sunday, 290-217, but Minnesota scored a pair of non-offensive touchdowns in a 30-24 victory. Arizona is 0-4 ATS the last four games, but the Cardinals have not been listed as an underdog of more than 2 ½ points this season.

Record: 6-4 SU, 6-4 ATS, 8-2 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 20/1

The Falcons sit atop the NFC South at 6-4 as they return to action off the bye week. Atlanta lost prior to the bye in a 24-15 setback at Philadelphia in its lowest-scoring game of the season. The Falcons have struggled to cash in the favorite role by posting a 2-2 SU and 1-3 ATS record when laying points, while covering only once in the last nine tries as a home favorite under Dan Quinn. All four games played at the Georgia Dome this season have finished OVER the total, while the Falcons have won the last six meetings with the Cardinals at home since 1999.

Best Bet: Arizona +6

Seahawks (-6, 45) at Buccaneers – 4:05 PM EST

Record: 7-2-1 SU, 6-4 ATS, 5-5 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 5/1

The Seahawks put together a pair of ugly performances to close out October with a tie at Arizona and a loss at New Orleans. However, Seattle has rebounded nicely in November by winning three straight games, including an underdog triumph at New England. The Seahawks have scored at least 26 points in each of the past three wins, including in a 26-15 home victory over the Eagles last Sunday as 6 ½-point favorites. In the Eastern Time Zone this season, Seattle owns a 2-0 SU/ATS record with wins over the Patriots and Jets, while posting victories in six of the past eight games on the east coast since 2014.

Tampa Bay
Record: 5-5 SU, 5-5 ATS, 6-4 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 125/1

Only if the Buccaneers can play as well on the road as they do when they take the field at Raymond James Stadium, Tampa Bay may lead the NFC South. The Bucs improved to 4-1 on the highway following last Sunday’s 19-17 triumph as seven-point underdogs at Kansas City. Tampa Bay has been the polar opposite at home by putting together a dreadful 1-4 record with the lone victory coming over Chicago. In four home losses, the Bucs have allowed at least 27 points, including defeats to the Falcons, Raiders, and Broncos, all teams currently with six wins or more. Since the start of 2014, Tampa Bay has compiled a dreadful 3-7 ATS record in the role of a home underdog.

Best Bet: Seattle -6

Panthers at Raiders (-3, 49 ½) – 4:25 PM EST

Record: 4-6 SU, 2-7-1 ATS, 5-5 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 50/1

The Panthers venture out to the west coast trying to keep up momentum off a 3-1 run the last four games. Carolina held off New Orleans last Thursday, 23-20, but the Panthers failed to cover as 3 ½-point favorites as the defending NFC champions played poorly in the fourth quarter for the second straight week. Since blowing out San Francisco in Week 2, Carolina owns a pathetic 1-6-1 ATS record the last eight games, while winning only once in four road contests. However, the Panthers are listed in the underdog role for the first time this season as Carolina put together a 2-0 SU/ATS mark as a ‘dog in 2015.

Record: 8-2 SU, 7-3 ATS, 8-2 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 18/1

The Raiders have lived up to preseason expectations and then some by winning eight of their first 10 games. Oakland returns to the Black Hole after rallying past Houston last Monday night, 27-20 to pick up its fourth consecutive victory. The Silver and Black has cashed the OVER in all three games against NFC South opponents this season, but the Raiders are 2-5 against NFC foes under Jack Del Rio. In five opportunities as a home favorite since the start of 2015, the Raiders have covered only once, coming against the Broncos in a Week 9 victory.

Best Bet: Carolina +3

Patriots (-7 ½, 46) at Jets – 4:25 PM EST

New England
Record: 8-2 SU, 8-2 ATS, 6-4 UNDER
Super Bowl Odds: 13/5

Following a home loss to Seattle two weeks ago, the Patriots rebounded in a huge way with a 30-17 triumph over San Francisco to cash as 10 ½-point road favorites. Tom Brady tossed four touchdown passes for the second time in three weeks, while New England racked up 444 yards of offense to improve to 5-0 away from Gillette Stadium. Rob Gronkowski will sit for the second consecutive week for New England as the All-Pro tight end is out with a lung injury. The Patriots have failed to cover in their last three trips to Met Life Stadium, including dropping a 26-20 overtime decision last December as 2 ½-point favorites.

New York
Record: 3-7 SU, 3-7 ATS, 5-4-1 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 1000/1

The Jets return from the bye week trying to finish the season on a positive note after putting up only six points against the Rams two weeks ago. Ryan Fitzpatrick returns under center for the Jets after missing the Los Angeles defeat with a knee injury as backup Bryce Petty threw for 163 yards against the Rams. In last December’s overtime victory over New England, Fitzpatrick tossed three touchdown passes, as the New York quarterback threw five touchdowns and wasn’t intercepted once in two matchups against the Patriots.

Best Bet: New York +7 ½